The exposure report · Farming and forestry

Farming, and the inspector who breaks the pattern

Eighty-four per cent of farming and forestry work cannot be sped up. The exception is the person with the clipboard.

Exposure means published research judged an AI could halve the time a task takes, at the same quality. It is not a prediction about any job. How to read this


12
occupations
243
rated tasks
83%
cannot be sped up, 19 of 22 in the economy
46pts
between the most and least protected job here
Finding one

Agricultural Inspectors are 55 per cent protected, everyone else is near 90

Farmworkers and Labourers, the largest occupation here at 277,000 people, are at 87 per cent protected with nothing reachable today. Agricultural Equipment Operators are at 100 per cent.

The inspector is the outlier because inspection produces a report, and reports are the most reachable artefact in this entire dataset.

Every occupation in the group, least protected first

Solid is reachable with a chat window today, pale needs software building first, grey cannot be sped up. Task counts are shown because several of these rest on fewer than twenty.

Agricultural Inspectors
Brand Inspector · Consumer Safety Inspector (CSI) · Food Inspector · Food Safety and Inspection Service Inspector (FSIS Inspector)
Tasks22 Doing it 14k
Log Graders and Scalers
Log Buyer · Log Check Scaler · Log Grader · Log Scaler
Tasks13 Doing it 3k
First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers
Animal Research Facility Supervisor · Cattle Manager · Farm Supervisor · Fish Hatchery Manager
Tasks30 Doing it 26k
Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products
Agriculture Laborer · Apple Sorter · Corn Lab Technician · Distribution Technician
Tasks6 Doing it 26k
Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals
Cowboy · Farm Hand · Farrowing Worker · Herdsman
Tasks22 Doing it 34k
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse
Farm Laborer · Farmer · Field Irrigation Worker · Gardener
Tasks30 Doing it 277k
Animal Breeders
Animal Technician · Artificial Insemination Technician (AI Technician) · Artificial Inseminator · Breeder
Tasks24 Doing it 1k
Fallers
Cutter Operator · Logger · Sawyer · Timber Cutter
Tasks19 Doing it 4k
Logging Equipment Operators
Delimber Operator · Feller Buncher Operator · Harvester Operator · Loader Operator
Tasks9 Doing it 26k
Forest and Conservation Workers
Christmas Tree Farmer · Conservation Officer · Field Laborer · Forest Ranger
Tasks21 Doing it 6k
Fishing and Hunting Workers
Commercial Fisherman · Commercial Fishing Vessel Operator · Deckhand · Fisherman
Tasks30
Agricultural Equipment Operators
Baler Operator · Cutter Operator · Equipment Operator · Farm Equipment Operator
Tasks17 Doing it 26k
All 12 farming and forestry occupations combined
Task-weighted across the whole group, so a large occupation counts for more than a small one
Tasks243
Reachable today Needs software built first Cannot be sped up
If you work in People

The rule in its simplest form

Twelve occupations, one of which writes things down for a living, and that one is thirty points more exposed than the rest.

If you want a single sentence to explain this whole report to somebody, it is that one.

What is missing from this chapter

There is no data here on what anybody actually does with AI. A dataset that appears to measure it was removed from this report because its meaning could not be stated. The reasoning is on the limits page.

The exposure ratings cover all 243 tasks in these 12 occupations with no gaps, and were made in 2023 against the model capabilities of that year. Read every figure as a floor.


Exposure ratings from Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock, GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs, Science 384, 1306–1308, 2024, used under the MIT licence. This page includes information from the O*NET Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA), used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. People Team AI has modified all or some of this information. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. Employment figures from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.