Fifty-eight per cent of this work cannot be sped up, but the range runs from Intelligence Analysts at 30 per cent to Firefighters at 90.
Exposure means published research judged an AI could halve the time a task takes, at the same quality. It is not a prediction about any job. How to read this
The largest occupation in the group, and one of the more protected in the economy. Fourteen per cent is reachable today and 14 per cent would need a tool.
Being somewhere, watching, and responding is not work a language model shortens.
Intelligence Analysts are the least protected occupation here at 30 per cent. The work is gathering, reading, correlating and reporting, which is the profile the ratings reward everywhere.
Firefighters at 90 per cent protected are the other end of the same group.
Solid is reachable with a chat window today, pale needs software building first, grey cannot be sped up. Task counts are shown because several of these rest on fewer than twenty.
Included for completeness. This chapter reports what the numbers say and stops, because nobody here has done this work.
The one transferable observation is the shape: within any group, the desk-based roles are the exposed ones, and that has held in all twenty-two chapters.
There is no data here on what anybody actually does with AI. A dataset that appears to measure it was removed from this report because its meaning could not be stated. The reasoning is on the limits page.
The exposure ratings cover all 525 tasks in these 26 occupations with no gaps, and were made in 2023 against the model capabilities of that year. Read every figure as a floor.
Exposure ratings from Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock, GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs, Science 384, 1306–1308, 2024, used under the MIT licence. This page includes information from the O*NET Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA), used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. People Team AI has modified all or some of this information. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. Employment figures from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.