The exposure report · Personal care

Personal care is protected by presence

Sixty-nine per cent of personal care work cannot be sped up, one of the highest figures in the report, and the reason is that almost all of it is done with somebody in the room.

Exposure means published research judged an AI could halve the time a task takes, at the same quality. It is not a prediction about any job. How to read this


31
occupations
637
rated tasks
69%
cannot be sped up, 14 of 22 in the economy
61pts
between the most and least protected job here
Finding one

Childcare Workers: 439,000 people, 56 per cent protected

Twenty per cent is reachable with a chat window, largely planning and record keeping. The rest is being with children.

Embalmers are the most protected occupation in the group at 92 per cent, and Concierges the least at 31 per cent.

Every occupation in the group, least protected first

Solid is reachable with a chat window today, pale needs software building first, grey cannot be sped up. Task counts are shown because several of these rest on fewer than twenty.

Concierges
Activities Concierge · Chef Concierge · Club Concierge · Concierge
Tasks16 Doing it 34k
First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers
Adult Family Home Program Manager · Aquatics Supervisor · Bar and Restaurant Manager · Clinical Care Coordinator
Tasks17 Doing it 101k
First-Line Supervisors of Gambling Services Workers
Casino Manager · Casino Shift Manager (CSM) · Floor Supervisor · Pit Boss
Tasks30 Doing it 20k
Travel Guides
Cruise Counselor · Guide · Naturalist Guide · Tour Coordinator
Tasks17
Childcare Workers
Caregiver · Child Care Worker · Child Caregiver · Childcare Provider
Tasks25 Doing it 439k
Costume Attendants
Costume Draper · Costume Seamstress · Costumer · Draper
Tasks21 Doing it 3k
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance
Commercial Makeup Artist (Commercial MUA) · Hair and Makeup Designer · Makeup Artist (MUA) · Prosthetic Makeup Designer
Tasks21 Doing it 2k
First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services
Caddymaster · Community Life Director · Hair Salon Manager · Hotel Services Supervisor
Tasks19 Doing it 67k
Nannies
Family Assistant · Family Manager · Governess · House Manager
Tasks19 Doing it 439k
Recreation Workers
Activities Assistant · Activities Director · Activity Aide · Activity Assistant
Tasks24 Doing it 264k
Amusement and Recreation Attendants
Activities Attendant · Coaster Attendant · Golf Course Ranger · Golf Course Starter
Tasks19 Doing it 262k
Residential Advisors
Hall Coordinator · Residence Director · Residence Hall Director · Residence Life Coordinator
Tasks30 Doing it 93k
Gambling and Sports Book Writers and Runners
Bingo Clerk · Casino Attendant · Casino Floor Runner · Casino Runner
Tasks22 Doing it 7k
Baggage Porters and Bellhops
Bell Captain · Bell Person · Bellhop · Bellman
Tasks17 Doing it 21k
Funeral Attendants
Funeral Assistant · Funeral Associate · Funeral Attendant · Funeral Director
Tasks26 Doing it 32k
Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors
Aerobics Instructor · Fitness Instructor · Fitness Specialist · Fitness Trainer
Tasks22 Doing it 222k
Tour Guides and Escorts
Art Museum Docent · Discovery Guide · Docent · Guide
Tasks19
Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers
Docent · Lobby Attendant · Ticket Attendant · Ticket Taker
Tasks23 Doing it 55k
Crematory Operators
Tasks12 Doing it 2k
Shampooers
Hair Assistant · Shampoo Assistant · Shampoo Person · Shampoo Technician
Tasks4 Doing it 10k
Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants
Athletic Equipment Manager · Coat Check Attendant · Coat Checker · Coat Room Attendant
Tasks23 Doing it 10k
Gambling Dealers
Black Jack Dealer · Blackjack Dealer · Card Dealer · Casino Dealer
Tasks21 Doing it 65k
Animal Caretakers
Animal Care Giver (ACG) · Aquarist · Dog Bather · Dog Groomer
Tasks22 Doing it 226k
Morticians, Undertakers, and Funeral Arrangers
Funeral Arrangement Director · Funeral Arranger · Funeral Counselor · Funeral Director
Tasks22 Doing it 25k
Skincare Specialists
Aesthetician · Clinical Esthetician · Electrologist · Esthetician
Tasks18 Doing it 51k
Barbers
Barber · Barber Shop Operator · Barber Stylist · Stylist
Tasks20 Doing it 13k
Motion Picture Projectionists
Booth Operator · Cinema Projectionist · Digital Projectionist · Film Specialist
Tasks22 Doing it 2k
Animal Trainers
Agility Instructor · Dog Obedience Instructor · Dog Trainer · Guide Dog Instructor
Tasks19 Doing it 16k
Manicurists and Pedicurists
Manicurist · Nail Technician (Nail Tech) · Pedicurist
Tasks18 Doing it 121k
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Beautician · Cosmetologist · Hair Dresser · Hair Stylist
Tasks23 Doing it 286k
Embalmers
Embalmer · Licensed Embalmer · Trade Embalmer
Tasks26 Doing it 4k
All 31 personal care occupations combined
Task-weighted across the whole group, so a large occupation counts for more than a small one
Tasks637
Reachable today Needs software built first Cannot be sped up
If you work in People

This is the shape of the protected end

If you want a clear picture of what the ratings mean by work that cannot be sped up, this is it: physical presence with another person, where the presence is the service.

The parts of a People role that behave the same way are the interview, the difficult conversation and the exit interview. That is what the People chapter found, and this chapter is what that pattern looks like when it is the whole job.

What is missing from this chapter

There is no data here on what anybody actually does with AI. A dataset that appears to measure it was removed from this report because its meaning could not be stated. The reasoning is on the limits page.

The exposure ratings cover all 637 tasks in these 31 occupations with no gaps, and were made in 2023 against the model capabilities of that year. Read every figure as a floor.


Exposure ratings from Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock, GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs, Science 384, 1306–1308, 2024, used under the MIT licence. This page includes information from the O*NET Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA), used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. People Team AI has modified all or some of this information. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. Employment figures from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.